5/9/2016 | By Calvin Schnure | REIT.com
Many analysts have noted that increasing construction and high prices on commercial properties often presage a downturn in the sector, and have asked whether this cycle may be approaching the 9th inning. NAREIT research economists have examined data from several sources to shed further light on the risks that the sector may be approaching a correction.
One broad-based measure of construction activity is the Census Bureau series on construction put-in-place. Measured in billions of dollars (instead of millions of square feet, or units), these figures allow more directly a comparison across property types and over a period spanning more than two decades. To facilitate comparison with earlier periods, NAREIT adjusted all figures for inflation.
The Blue Vault Summit could not have been more perfectly timed. This gathering of the Broker Dealer and Sponsor communities provided insightful and open discussion from several vantage points. These conversations are paramount, especially in a time of significant regulatory change.